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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Abdul Fattah al Sisi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt Has Not Revealed Any Workable Plan for Sudan
Despite numerous conferences and promises, Sudan's regional neighbors have done little to defuse the current conflict.
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mon’im Omer
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Video
Sudan's Civil War: Mediation Challenges and the U.S. Role
Join us for an expert webcast exploring the effects of Sudan's civil war on the regional humanitarian situation and U.S. interests as well as how international actors may be able to persuade the warring parties to accept a durable ceasefire. Watch live starting at 12:00 noon EDT (1600 GMT) on Wednesday, July 26, 2023.
July 26, 2023, starting at 12:00 noon EDT (1600 GMT)
◆
  • Reem Abbas
  • Alex Rondos
  • Yasir Zaidan
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Global Ambitions and Tunisia’s Crisis Could Spur Algeria to Rethink Its Non-Intervention Policy
By involving Algiers in enhanced multilateral efforts, Washington can nudge it toward more effective strategies abroad while simultaneously improving Tunisia’s political and economic situation.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Photo showing fighters from the Somali terrorist group al-Shabab.
Brief Analysis
More Emirati Military Involvement in Somalia Could Help Curb al-Shabab
The United Arab Emirates has much to offer if it chooses deeper military involvement in the fight against al-Shabab, but it would need to coordinate closely with other actors, especially the United States, to optimize its contribution.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ido Levy
Egypt Sudan Border
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Approach to Conflict in Sudan: A Simmering Crisis
With no end in sight, the Sudan conflict will put significant pressure on Egypt's economic, political, and security infrastructure.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Anthony Skinner
Articles & Testimony
Perpetual Deadlock Is Limiting Libya’s Potential
Oil is flowing and warring factions are not actively warring, but this illusion of stability can disappear at any time unless further steps are taken to produce a legitimate government.
Jun 17, 2023
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Geopolitics and the Second Negev Summit
After months of delay, U.S. and Israeli government officials reportedly suggested that the second Negev Summit will proceed on June 25.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nashat Shawamreh
Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
All Quiet on the North African Jihadi Front
Dwindling terrorist activity in the region stands in sharp contrast to sub-Saharan Africa, but changing local dynamics and other factors could revive the threat quickly.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
US Foreign Policy in Tunisia: Dilemmas and Prospects
By standing up for human rights and taking concrete steps to support a receptive Tunisian public, Washington can help overcome its reputation for putting security and economic interests ahead of democratic ideals.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bread in Egypt: Politics, Social Unrest, and State Stability
The global rise in wheat prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed questions about Egypt’s bread subsidies and the government’s broader legitimacy.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Rock-Singer
Illustration of the Algerian and Russian flags
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
  • Erik Yavorsky
Tunisia's King Mohammed VI addresses the Tunisian parliament
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia Can “Bounce Back” from Authoritarianism with Proper Support
Other countries that have restored democratic norms in recent years have seen progress in five distinct areas.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
حقوق سیاسی و آزادی‌های مدنی در خاورمیانه: روندها از سال ۲۰۱۰، بر اساس داده‌های خانه آزادی
جدیدترین گزارش «خانه آزادی» حاکی از سیر قهقرایی در سال گذشته و از زمان بهار عربی است، همراه با افول چشمگیر حقوق سیاسی و مدنی در چند کشور و حاوی هشدارهایی درباره افول بیشتر در سال آتی.
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • کامیله یابلونسکی
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is Egypt Headed Toward Collapse?
The country has been described as “too big to fail,” but further deterioration is possible amid mounting debt, major inflation, and delayed military divestment.
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How the United States Can—and Should—Continue to Support Tunisia
Washington may be tempted to give up after the country’s democratic backsliding; instead, it should take targeted, supportive actions that have worked in other cases.
۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
The Fighting in Sudan Threatens Peace Efforts with Israel
Even if another civil war is averted, the delay in signing a peace agreement has provided room for the rise of political factions that oppose further relations with Israel.
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنش‌های منطقه‌ای به اعتراضات در اسرائیل
بسیاری از رسانه‌های خاورمیانه از بحران در اسرائیل برای تقویت لحن آتش‌افروزانه خود استفاده کردند، ولی برخی تحلیل‌های متفاوت از دریچهٔ اصول دموکراتیک و صلح اعراب-اسرائیل هم مطرح شده است.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • فرانسیس مک‌دونو
Brief Analysis
China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?
Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
Egypt market
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Face a Difficult Holy Month This Ramadan as Food Prices Skyrocket
Runaway inflation, currency devaluation, and unprecedented foreign debt could make this holiday the most challenging one in years, especially for low-income households.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz

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