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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Articles & Testimony
Neglect for Human Rights Helped Produce the Crisis in Tunisia
Rampant corruption and economic instability facilitated Saied’s takeover, but Western governments need to recognize that these ills stem from deeper human rights problems such as unchecked police brutality, erosion of freedoms, and lack of respect for due process.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Four Possible Scenarios for Tunisia’s Political Crisis
As waves of protest rock the country following mass arrests of political opponents, what will happen next?
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Karim Mezran
  • Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saied’s Tunisia Is Politicizing Counterterrorism Again
His government is using CT tools to go after the political opposition, but the ongoing lull in jihadist activity may give Washington some breathing room to press him on these issues.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya
Turkey’s tragic earthquake and Egypt’s economic crisis may lead both governments to ease their conflicts over Libya.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Negev Forum
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Morocco, Israel, and the Future of the Negev Forum
Morocco is preparing to host the upcoming Negev Forum summit, an opportunity for the Kingdom to expand economic ties and bridge regional divides.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Chtatou
Burns Visit Libya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Takeaways from William Burns’ Surprise Visit to Libya
Burns met with both Dbeibeh and Haftar, likely to discuss key U.S. concerns such as the Lockerbie case, energy security, and terrorism.
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Eljarh
Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.
تحلیل کوتاه
ارزیابی سفر شی جین پینگ به خاورمیانه
گفتگوهای رئیس‌جمهور چین درباره اشاعه هسته‌ای، بازارهای انرژی، همکاری‌های دفاعی و سایر موضوعات، تضادهای زیادی با ملاقات‌های تابستانی رئیس‌جمهور بایدن در عربستان سعودی داشت و با برخی انتقادات غیرمنتظره از سوی ایران مواجه شد.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • گرانت راملی
  • کارول سیلبر
  • اریک فیلی
  • سارا کان
  • سوده آق‌گندوغدو
  • لورن فون تادن
  • فارس المعری
Algeria Oil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Energy Geopolitics of North Africa
The longstanding regional rivalry between Morocco and Algeria has taken on new meaning as the two countries vie for energy partnerships in Europe.
۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nashat Shawamreh
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Economic Freefall Provides an Opening for U.S. Assistance—and Leverage
Given the tall task of managing public dissent and meeting IMF reform requirements without angering his military base, President Sisi may be more willing to shift his problematic stances on human rights and foreign policy.
۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ben Fishman
French President Macron and Moroccan King Mohammed VI in Rabat - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
France’s Balancing Act: Mending Relations and Ending Moroccan Visa Restrictions
A recently announced visa decision and a presidential visit to Rabat indicate France’s eagerness to regain its diplomatic position in the region.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Frances McDonough
  • Sabina Henneberg
Video
Brief Analysis
Civil Society in Tunisia: Resetting Western Policy Expectations
Three experts discuss the relevance and focus of Western efforts to nurture reform in post-revolutionary Tunisia amid recent democratic backsliding by President Saied.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Amy Hawthorne
  • Jean-Louis Romanet Perroux
Tunisian demonstrators outside the general union building (UGTT), June 2022
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Civil Society in Tunisia:
Resetting Expectations
Reduced U.S. support need not mean abandoning Tunisians or democratization, and can center on directing limited funds more intentionally.
۲۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
U.S. and Algerian flags at the U.S. Embassy in Algiers - source: U.S. government
Brief Analysis
Bolstering U.S.-Algeria Relations Amid the Africa Leaders Summit
At a time when Algerian military cooperation with Russia is growing and African counterterrorism challenges are proliferating, Washington cannot afford to take the relationship for granted.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Biden Summit for Democracy 2021, Tunisia media protesters, Egyptian democracy workshop
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Reexamining U.S. Aid to the Middle East:
Ideas for Advancing Both Governance and Democracy
Massive U.S. investment has failed to improve outcomes since the Arab Spring uprisings. A more targeted, sensitive approach could yield better results and promote regional stability.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ben Fishman
◆ Reform, Protest, Change
A supporter of Tunisia's Islamist Ennahda Party protests against the Tunisian president's 2022 coup - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tunisia: Caught Between the IMF and International Isolation
In the absence of strong international support, Tunisians have been left to face the worsening political and economic crises on their own
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Maher Latif
Brief Analysis
Tunisians Pessimistic Ahead of Parliamentary Election
Socioeconomic unrest is growing in many parts of the country, and the series of elections planned this month and next year hold little prospect of bolstering public confidence in an increasingly autocratic government.
۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
President Joe Biden waves from the steps of Air Force One - source: White House photo
Brief Analysis
Biden Heads to Egypt Amid Economic Protests and Libyan Gridlock
Although climate issues will by definition headline the latest COP summit, Egypt’s human rights record, simmering protest movement, and questionable policies in neighboring Libya will provide plenty of additional fodder for Biden’s discussions with Sisi.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Ben Fishman
تحلیل کوتاه
قطعنامه سازمان ملل در محکومیت الحاق مناطقی از اوکراین به روسیه: رأی کشورهای خاورمیانه چه بود؟
بیشتر کشورهای منطقه از این اقدام حمایت کردند؛ با یک رأی منفی، دو تغییر مهم از زمان قطعنامه ماه مارس، و چندین بیانیه محکم در حمایت از تمامیت ارضی.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
A cargo ship carrying Ukrainian grain passes through the Bosphorus - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
MENA Countries Stand to Lose the Most If the Ukraine Grain Initiative Falters
Russia will continue using the Black Sea corridors as leverage, so Western countries and their partners should prepare alternative routes and other assistance as counter-leverage.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
Map of U.S. Army operations in Operation Torch, 1942 - source: U.S. Army
Articles & Testimony
From Torch to Tunis to El Alamein: Events 80 Years Ago Made the Modern Middle East
The second week of November 1942 has much to tell us about the region’s geopolitical centrality, its enduring political currents, and its role in the future of the Jewish people—not to mention the evolution of American foreign policy.
۶ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff

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