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  • Policy Analysis

شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Brief Analysis
New Egyptian Legislation Aims to Reduce Al-Azhar’s Authority
The latest twist in the long battle for control over Egypt’s religious realm could have profound implications for the state’s ability to regulate—and thus reform—Islamic discourse.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Normalization Is Making Cairo Uncomfortable
The UAE’s deal with Israel may render Egypt a junior partner in future peace diplomacy, aggravating its existing frustration over years of financial dependence on the small Gulf state and a string of foreign policy setbacks.
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece
The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Moscow and Ankara Will Continue Uneasy Cooperation
Putin set a trap for Erdogan long ago, and because the Turkish leader woke up too late to his predicament, he now has little leverage in the unequal bilateral relationship.
۶ اوت ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy Rivalries Face Harsh Economic Realities
Even if acute diplomatic differences are resolved, low natural gas prices will have a cooling effect on regional energy initiatives.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia Looks to Long Term While Navigating Libya Chaos
Moscow has intervened for self-serving reasons and claims neutrality despite clearly picking a side.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Political Instability Deepens in Tunisia
The prime minister’s resignation throws the country into political uncertainty at a time of mounting economic challenges, coronavirus fears, social unrest, and potential spillover from the Libya conflict.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Sudan on Edge: An Inevitable Fall or a Better Way Ahead?
Washington needs to go fast on Sudan, not slow, frontloading relief to bolster the civilian government while warning regional leaders not to use the country as another geopolitical football.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
The Blue Line: The Israel-Sudan Border? The Challenge of Infiltrators from Lebanon
Although Sudanese workers crossing the border are hardly a terrorist threat, they do pose problems that need to be addressed by Israeli, Lebanese, and international authorities.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Military Activity in the East Mediterranean Echoes Its Approach to Syria
Although Moscow would face many challenges if it tries to establish permanent offensive and A2AD capabilities in Libya like it has in Syria, its covert actions thus far show a commitment to playing the long game against NATO in the East Mediterranean.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Shifting Tides in Libya Require More Active U.S. Involvement
Directly engaging all parties is essential if Washington hopes to advance a national dialogue and prevent a Turkish-Russian accommodation that establishes their presence in Libya indefinitely.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
What Turned the Battle for Tripoli?
A boost in Turkish drones and air defense systems enabled forces in Tripoli to establish local air superiority and ease pressure on the capital, leaving each side’s foreign patrons with tough choices about whether to escalate further or take steps to halt the fighting.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Conor Hiney
مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها
کووید-۱۹ و جنگ‌های نیابتی خاورمیانه:‌ آرامشی بعد از توفان؟
با آن‌که نمی‌دانیم پیامدهای منطقه‌ای همه‌گیری ویروس کرونا به طور کامل چه خواهد بود، اما گرایش‌های اولیه در حال نمایان شدن است؛ از احتیاط برخی حامیان گروه‌های نیابتی گرفته تا افزایش فعالیت برخی دیگر و تنگنای مالی‌ای که دامان همگان را گرفته است.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • دیوید پولاک
Brief Analysis
Corona in the Casbah: The Pandemic’s Destabilizing Impact on Algeria
Given that the local economic repercussions of COVID-19 could be severe, Washington should prepare for the prospect of instability erupting in Africa’s largest country.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus Has Opposite Effects on Turkish Policy in Syria and Libya
Ceasefire agreements and contagion concerns will likely limit Turkish operations in Syria for the time being, but Ankara has no such constraints in its Libya proxy war.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
As Civil War Rages, Diplomacy Fails with Libya’s Haftar
For years, international mediators have insisted that there is no military solution to the war, but it is also time to recognize that there is no diplomatic solution with Khalifa Haftar.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
How Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia’s Message Framing Primed Its Members to Become Recruits for the Islamic State
By the time IS came to the fore in Iraq and Syria, many of its themes and activities were already second nature to Tunisian jihadis who had heard similar messaging at home.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Ultra Extremism Among Tunisian Jihadis Within the Islamic State
A deeper look into how one of the organization's Tunisian factions in Syria adopted and practiced an even more radical distortion of Islamic thought than its parent group.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Missionaries of Jihad
How did a democratic bright spot in the Arab Spring become a leading source of Islamic State fighters? Read or watch an in-depth conversation with two jihadism experts.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Rukmini Callimachi
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s ‘Mini Empire’ in Libya and Syria
A deep dive into the evolution of Turkey’s Middle East policy and the mixed results it has had in two Russian-fueled conflict zones.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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