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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Brief Analysis
On Syria Aid, Don’t Bet on the Security Council
Seventeen Russian vetoes have hobbled the council’s ability to keep humanitarian assistance flowing, so Washington and its allies should look to the General Assembly instead—or take matters into their own hands on the Turkish border.
Jul 19, 2023
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Autonomous_Administration_of_North_and_East_Syria
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Approach to Erdoğan’s Victory
Worried by the implications of Erdoğan's reelection, the Kurds in northeastern Syria need active support from the United States now more than ever.
Jul 19, 2023
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  • Baraa Sabri
Hakan Fidan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hakan Fidan and the New Turkish Diplomacy in Iraq
As Minister of Foreign Affairs, Hakan Fidan will have to navigate urgent changes and new challenges in crafting Turkish policy towards Iraq.
Jul 13, 2023
◆
  • Firas Elias
A refugee from the Russian invasion of Ukraine holds a Ukrainian passport - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Growing Ukrainian and Russian Communities
For nationals on both sides of the fight, the Ukraine war has transformed Turkey from a popular summer destination to a longer-term safe haven or permanent home on the Mediterranean.
Jun 28, 2023
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  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Collin Trissel
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Media and Official Reactions to Erdoğan’s Win
Considering Turkey’s pivotal role in the region and a number of current global issues, it’s no wonder that Arab media across the Middle East closely followed Turkey’s recent elections and speculated about the impact of the election results.
Jun 16, 2023
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  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syrian Perspectives on the Turkish Elections
Though Syria policies were at the center of the Turkish elections, the future for many Syrians remains unclear even after an Erdoğan victory.
Jun 12, 2023
◆
  • Emad Bouzo
Qazi Muhammed salutes at the founding of the Kurdish Republic of Mahabad in 1946 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Articles & Testimony
Russia and the Kurds: A Soft-Power Tool for the Kremlin?
An in-depth look at how Russian leaders have played the Kurdish card over the past two centuries, including recent engagement in Syria and Iraq.
Summer 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Sanctioning a Syrian Jihadist Leader: Implications of a Joint U.S.-Turkish Designation
Their willingness to sanction the top HTS money man after years without a designation suggests that the group’s charm offensive has not assuaged concerns in either capital.
Jun 2, 2023
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Russian Victory
His months-long efforts to neuter the opposition ahead of this weekend’s win suggest that Turkey is shifting closer to a Putin-style autocracy than an illiberal European democracy.
May 29, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Supporters of Turkish president Erdogan display a large flag - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Presidential Runoff: What to Expect May 28 and After
A panel of journalists and scholars discuss the policy implications of various scenarios that might emerge from the final round of Turkey’s election.
May 26, 2023
◆
  • Elcin Poyrazlar
  • Emre Peker
  • Humeyra Pamuk
  • Soner Cagaptay
CMC March 16, 2023 draft regulation of digits; media content in Iraq
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi CMC Draft Regulation on Digital Content in Iraq
English translation of the March 16, 2023, draft regulation on digital content by the Iraqi Communications and Media Commission.
May 15, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Photo illustration of the flags of Sweden, NATO, Finland, and Turkey - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
East and West: Which Way Does Turkey Face?
President Erdogan has tried to reshape the country in his own image, as socially conservative, politically Islamist, and Middle Eastern, with the ultimate goal of reviving its great power status.
May 15, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Kilicdaroglu
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Elections: a Referendum on the Future of the Republic
Though the Turkish opposition has a serious shot at unseating Erdogan, their success is far from guaranteed—even if they win in the polls.
May 12, 2023
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  • Magnus Norell
  • Kurdo Baksi
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
Articles & Testimony
Even If Erdogan Is Defeated, Turkey Is Still Up for Grabs
Western gestures on trade and defense could reinforce a pro-democratic outcome and counter interference by Vladimir Putin.
May 11, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Turkish Elections 2023: End of an Erdogan Era?
In a series of articles, op-eds, videos and media appearances, Institute scholar Soner Cagaptay, as well as other Institute experts and contributors, map out possible outcomes, discussing what the elections mean for Turkey’s trajectory, NATO, the Middle East, and the rest of the world.
May 11, 2023
◆
  • Anna Brown
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Historic May 14 Elections: What to Expect
Watch an expert webcast as scholars and journalists preview Turkey's historic 2023 elections and their implications for Turkish policy, the wider Middle East, and Washington's relationship with Ankara.
May 12, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Seren Selvin Korkmaz
  • Emre Peker
  • Ragip Soylu
Thumbnail image showing Turkish president Erdogan and "The Last Vote?" title
Video
Articles & Testimony
Turkish Elections: The Last Vote?
In this video, Beyer Family Fellow Soner Cagaptay provides context for the upcoming election and assesses Erdogan's prospects for success.
May 5, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Resilient Autocrat
A closer look at how the levers of state—and powerful friends—could help Erdogan win his toughest election yet.
May 4, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Bafel Talabani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK
The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.
Apr 28, 2023
◆
  • Mehmet Alaca
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Political Rights and Civil Liberties in the Middle East: Trends in Freedom House Data Since 2010
The organization’s latest report showed persistent backsliding last year and since the Arab Spring, along with dramatic drops in a handful of countries and warnings of further drops next year.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Camille Jablonski

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Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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