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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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A production still from the movie Oppenheimer, featuring actor Cillian Murphy - source: Universal
Articles & Testimony
The Science Behind the Drama of ‘Oppenheimer’
Iran’s potential push for a nuclear device and the region’s broader proliferation challenges cast a shadow over the new summer blockbuster.
Jul 24, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
Thumbnail image representing an infographic illustrating the uranium enrichment process
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Infographic: A Visual Guide to Understanding the Uranium Enrichment Process
This infographic is based on the Washington Institute’s 2015 nuclear glossary, a detailed guide that provides summaries of technical terms relating to Iran’s nuclear progress.
Jul 18, 2023
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  • Shaina Katz
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A New Iran Nuclear Deal Might Be on the Horizon
Washington can still avoid war, but not unless it balances blandishments and rewards with credible threats.
Jun 23, 2023
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Bolstering Saudi Arabia’s CBRN Defenses
The kingdom has substantial gaps in its ability to handle nonconventional attacks or incidents involving the release of hazardous materials, but addressing them now could improve both its readiness at home and its interoperability with foreign forces.
Jun 14, 2023
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  • Faris Almaari
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Nuclear Balancing Act
In line with his tendency to keep all options open when discussing nuclear negotiations, his latest speech gave only a yellow light to a potential deal.
Jun 13, 2023
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  • Omer Carmi
A sign and mural in Tehran promote the Fatteh missile and threaten Israel with the slogan "400 Seconds to Tel Aviv" - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Iran Gamble
The administration is essentially trying to kick the can down the road in order to avoid worse scenarios, but this approach may backfire without firmer steps to slow Iran’s nuclear progress in the meantime.
Jun 9, 2023
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  • Eric Brewer
  • Henry Rome
Israeli Minister of Defense Benny Gantz - source: Israeli Ministry of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel's Challenges at Home and Abroad: A View from the Opposition
Opposition leader and former defense minister Benny Gantz discusses Israel’s domestic political challenges, the triggers for action against Iran’s nuclear program, the prospects of normalization with Saudi Arabia, and more.
Jun 8, 2023
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  • Benny Gantz
  • Robert Satloff
  • David Makovsky
Iranian military leaders Ali Akbar Ahmadian and Qasem Suleimani - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran’s National Security Council Shuffle Signals Business as Usual
The latest change followed the normal timeline for such appointments, and the new council secretary is a demonstrated loyalist who will presumably toe the Supreme Leader’s uncompromising line.
May 24, 2023
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  • Farzin Nadimi
U.S. and Iranian flags
Video
Brief Analysis
America's Shifting Iran Policy: From George W. Bush to the Present
Watch as an expert panel assesses the full sweep of U.S. policy toward Iran in the twenty-first century across the Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations.
May 18, 2023
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  • Elliott Abrams
  • Dennis Ross
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Jordanian Gun Arrest Underscores Israel’s Smuggling Problem
The case of a parliamentarian accused of weapons trafficking is grabbing headlines, but it is just one small part of the sharp increase in gun smuggling across Jordan and Israel’s frontiers.
Apr 25, 2023
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Lauren von Thaden
Photo of a Shahed drone in an Iranian military parade near imagery of Supreme Leader Khamenei..
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Drone Program: Security Implications and Policy Responses
A former CENTCOM chief joins two arms experts to discuss the capabilities of Iran’s drones, the gaps in current efforts to curb their proliferation, and the pressing need for a regional air defense architecture that can counter them.
Apr 24, 2023
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  • Kenneth McKenzie Jr.
  • Damien Spleeters
  • Valerie Lincy
Iranian and Russian flags on a table
Articles & Testimony
What the Russia-Iran Arms Deals Mean for the Middle East
In the longer term, the increased flow of weapons will likely exacerbate tensions in the region, spur Arab states to enhance their own arsenals, and endanger any U.S. and partner forces that confront Tehran’s proxies.
Apr 19, 2023
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  • Grant Rumley
Iranian military officers, including Major General Bagheri, tour an underground air base - source: Iranian government
Articles & Testimony
Iranian Military Developments and Trends
Iran’s future military activities will likely be marked by greater continuity than change, but Supreme Leader Khamenei’s succession could presage more risk-acceptant behavior and a reconsideration of its nuclear hedging strategy.
Apr 13, 2023
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Iranian and international negotiators participate in nuclear talks in Vienna, 2021.
Articles & Testimony
‘No Deal, No Crisis’ Is No Plan for Iran
The West is in the middle of a steadily escalating nuclear crisis, even if policymakers are reluctant to admit it.
Mar 29, 2023
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  • Henry Rome
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Attempts to Restore Optimism and Normality in Nowruz Speeches
Despite facing unprecedented protests and other deep challenges, the Supreme Leader delivered upbeat New Year’s messages and argued that simply controlling runaway inflation would solve most of Iran’s ills.
Mar 23, 2023
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  • Omer Carmi
Protesters wave flags and placards in front of the Knesset to demonstrate their opposition to judicial reforms proposed by the coalition government of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The National Security Implications of Israel's Judicial Debate
A panel of former senior Israeli officials discusses how the convulsive domestic debate may affect vital issues related to military preparedness, Iranian nuclear advancement, Palestinian terrorism, and more.
Mar 8, 2023
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  • David Makovsky
  • Shimrit Meir
  • Yaakov Amidror
  • Uzi Dayan
  • Zohar Palti
USAF ground crew directs a B-1 Lancer bomber
Articles & Testimony
Iran Needs to Believe America’s Threat
Four steps could help check Tehran’s progress toward a nuclear bomb and avoid the regional risks of a unilateral Israeli attack.
Mar 5, 2023
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran Ready to Build a Nuclear Bomb or Not?
The Biden administration’s mixed messages about the significance of new enrichment revelations will make it more difficult to decide next steps.
Mar 1, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
U.S. flag, nuclear symbol, Iranian flag
In-Depth Reports
Iran’s Nuclear Endgame Warrants a Change in U.S. Strategy
The regime's latest step on uranium enrichment should compel the United States and its partners to snap back sanctions, bolster military deterrence, and plan for potential crisis scenarios.
Feb 28, 2023
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Iran Enriched Uranium to 84 Percent—But Can It Make a Nuclear Bomb?
The new reported level is well beyond most people’s “red line” and will likely draw much attention at the IAEA's March meeting.
Feb 20, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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