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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Rouhani, Putin, Erdogan
In-Depth Reports
Triangular Diplomacy:
Unpacking Russia's Syria Strategy
Moscow has repeatedly played actors off each other to secure its own interests and keep the Assad regime in power.
Jul 7, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
When Humanitarian Aid Becomes a Bargaining Chip
Cross-border access into Syria has become a stress test for Putin and Biden’s nascent relationship, so what exactly will it take for their governments to reach a durable agreement?
Jul 1, 2021
◆
  • Jomana Qaddour
Accidental Allies cover
In-Depth Reports
Accidental Allies:
The US–Syrian Democratic Forces Partnership Against the Islamic State
To some, America's partnership with the SDF exemplified an economy-of-force effort that minimized U.S. casualties and wrested control of northeast Syria from the Islamic State. To others, it was a cautionary tale about a U.S. military hoodwinked into working with a terrorist group.
Jun 22, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work
To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.
Jun 21, 2021
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  • Ben Fishman
  • Anas El Gomati
Erdogan pensive
In-Depth Reports
A Sultan in Autumn
Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces
The unprecedented economic growth and personal popularity once enjoyed by the Turkish leader have given way to stagnation, a dwindling support base, and problems abroad.
Jun 6, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
President Donald Trump speaks about Syria
Articles & Testimony
The Inside Story of How Trump ‘Kept the Oil’ in Syria and Lost
The ambitious plan would have seen Delta Crescent, a tiny Delaware company, try to bring peace and stability to the war-ravaged northeast, but local corruption, a lack of U.S. commitment, and other complications doomed the idea.
May 31, 2021
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Syrian rebel fighters play a board game in a cafe
Brief Analysis
Stalemate in Northeast Syria: Options for Advancing U.S. Interests
In addition to clarifying its intentions and fortifying its presence in the area, the U.S. government needs to increase its focus on stability, security, and economic development.
May 21, 2021
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Articles & Testimony
After the Gaza Cease-Fire, What Next?
From calling out Qatar and Turkey to encouraging direct Israeli aid, Washington should pursue bolder initiatives that boost the chances of avoiding bloodshed.
May 20, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Is Stalemate the Least Bad Option in Syria?
If only to avoid far worse outcomes, Washington should reject Assad’s bogus “reelection” and keep supporting Israeli strikes, the SDF’s viability, and refugee aid.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Lines in the Sea: The Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Dispute
Benefitting from offshore natural gas reserves should be a win-win situation, but in this case the players may turn it into a zero-sum game.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UAE Wealth Fund to Buy Share of Israeli Gas Field
If the $1.1 billion deal goes ahead, it will strengthen Abu Dhabi’s claim to be a player in the East Mediterranean.
Apr 27, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech
Articles & Testimony
​Biden Recognizing the Armenian Genocide Shows How Far Turkey and Erdogan Have Fallen
For the first time in years, Erdogan needs the United States more than Washington needs him, so Biden is seizing the opportunity.
Apr 24, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
The Economic Future of Northeast Syria
Experts discuss the humanitarian, trade, and security measures that are necessary to stabilizing the northeast and preventing the Islamic State and Assad from extending their harmful influence there.
Apr 23, 2021
◆
  • Jennifer Cafarella
  • Sasha Ghosh-Siminoff
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
Video
Brief Analysis
Can Erdogan Charm Biden?
An expert conversation on the pitfalls and potential areas of cooperation between Washington and Ankara in the coming years.
Apr 21, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Asli Aydintasbas
  • Max Hoffman
  • Jenny White
A jockey and horse at a race in Iran
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Underground Las Vegas
From pop stars to porn stars to bitcoins, the rise of online gambling sites in Iran is raising eyebrows—as well as questions about whether the IRGC and other regime organs are benefitting from the scandalous new industry.
Apr 16, 2021
◆
  • Arash Aalaei
Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh
Brief Analysis
China’s Foreign Minister Tours the Middle East: Outcomes and Implications
The trip echoed Beijing’s strategy of stringing together initiatives that seem insubstantial on their own but cumulatively threaten to undermine U.S. and regional interests.
Apr 9, 2021
◆
  • Ilari Papa
Articles & Testimony
Russia Seeks Regional Buy-In for Its Syria Plans
Moscow is using calibrated military power and complex diplomacy to persuade Turkey, Qatar, and other countries to back its solutions.
Apr 6, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Threat in Syria Two Years After the Caliphate
Since losing its territorial base, the group has shown troubling signs of recovery amid a deteriorating situation at al-Hawl refugee camp.
Mar 31, 2021
◆
  • Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Egypt-Turkey Rapprochement Is Constraining the Muslim Brotherhood
Recent understandings between Cairo and Ankara have many of the group’s exiled figures worried about their future on Turkish soil.
Mar 30, 2021
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
AD graphic
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Saraya Awliya al-Dam
With probable links to Asaib Ahl al-Haq, this minor facade group is occasionally used to claim bombing attacks on U.S. supply convoys and rocket attacks on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Mar 29, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles

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Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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