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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Pivotal 2023 Elections:
Issues, Potential Outcomes, and What Comes After
Opinion polls offer hope for the challengers, but Erdogan's media control and other factors could foil their efforts to finally topple the president and his ruling bloc.
Apr 19, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Israel May Lose Oil Access in Baghdad-Kurdish Deal
Years of quiet and fairly lucrative oil trading between the Kurds and Israel are now being threatened by messy legal disputes involving Baghdad and Turkey.
Apr 13, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Henry Rome
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
Brief Analysis
Regional Reactions to Israel’s Protests
Many Middle Eastern outlets have used the crisis to reinforce their inflammatory rhetoric, but some have provided nuanced analysis through the lenses of democratic principles and Arab-Israel peace.
Apr 12, 2023
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  • Frances McDonough
Turkey CHP
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can the Turkish Opposition’s Refugee Policies Actually Improve Syrians’ Situations?
With elections approaching, the Turkish opposition may have an opportunity to rethink Syrian refugee policies.
Apr 10, 2023
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  • Joshua Levkowitz
Photo of an oil facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG Oil and the Slipping Dream of Financial Independence
Following the ICC's decision, the KRG has limited options in its fight for financial independence from Baghdad.
Apr 6, 2023
◆
  • Nawras Jaff
Articles & Testimony
The Rise and Fall of Kurdish Power in Iraq
Despite thirty years of landmark achievements, the KRG’s endless quest for economic independence has only entrenched its internal divisions and kleptocracy while shifting its dependency—from Iraq to Turkey, and from foreign aid to oil revenues.
Spring 2023
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
The Urgent U.S. Role in Restarting Iraq-Turkey Oil Exports
A pipeline arbitration ruling has imperiled a recent Baghdad-Kurdistan breakthrough, but this roadblock can be removed if the United States acts urgently to disrupt spoilers and help constructive players.
Mar 31, 2023
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  • Michael Knights
Syrian refugees leaving Turkey after earthquake
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Turkish Backlash:
How Street Interviews Spread Anti–Syrian Refugee Sentiment
A narrowing space for reliable media has encouraged alternative platforms that promote hateful language, bigotry, and racism directed toward Syrians.
Mar 20, 2023
◆
  • Sude Akgundogdu
Kemal_Kılıçdaroğlu_
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Opposition, Straining at the Seams
Opposition factions face numerous difficulties in the lead-up to the next elections, as internal disputes may undermine their success.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
  • M. Bahadırhan Dinçaslan
Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy
Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.
Mar 7, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
IDF Humanitarian Aid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Crisis and Regional Cooperation: Israeli Response to the Earthquake in Syria and Turkey
Israeli aid efforts to Turkey and Syria have been multifaceted after the earthquake, despite the difficult political circumstances.
Mar 6, 2023
◆
  • Nir Boms
  • Joelle Rosenthal
UAE aid in Jableh, Syria, following February 6, 2023, earthquake
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Disaster Dynamics:
Assessing Middle East Responses to the Turkey-Syria Earthquake and Other Destructive Events
Regional generosity was on display after the February 6 temblor, but aid decisions do appear to be driven by political considerations.
Mar 3, 2023
◆
  • Sarah Cahn
  • Erik Yavorsky
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Disaster—and Erdogan’s: How the Earthquake Could Spell the End of His Rule
The president might find the current situation ominously similar to two decades ago, when a combination of devastating natural disaster and deep public dissatisfaction swept his Islamist faction to power.
Mar 1, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Putin’s Position in MENA and the Turkish Elections
Putin’s shift in MENA policy suggests efforts to smooth the way for Erdoğan’s electoral bid.
Feb 24, 2023
◆
  • Baraa Sabri
Brief Analysis
Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya
Turkey’s tragic earthquake and Egypt’s economic crisis may lead both governments to ease their conflicts over Libya.
Feb 21, 2023
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Post earthquake recover efforts in Kahramanmaras, Turkey, in February 2023 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Earthquake in Syria and Turkey: U.S. Policy Implications
A panel of experts offers on-the-ground insights from the disaster zone and discusses the political and policy consequences of the still-unfolding humanitarian crisis.
Feb 17, 2023
◆
  • Can Selcuki
  • Amany Qaddour
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
How Will Turkey’s Earthquake Affect the Current Election Cycle?
Once Ankara meets the initial challenge of determining an election date amid unimaginable human tragedy, it will face a campaign season dominated by debates over the conduct of relief efforts and the government’s level of responsibility for the growing death toll.
Feb 14, 2023
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Photo of an oil facility in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Articles & Testimony
Tipping Point of the Iraq-KRG Energy Dispute
Baghdad’s legal wins won’t mean much if it mishandles the political end, angers Turkey, and further damages the country’s reputation as a reliable oil partner.
Feb 13, 2023
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  • Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Coming of Erdoğan’s Fourth War for Control: The AKP’s Looming Showdown with Turkey’s Nationalists
Although his alliance with the MHP has kept him in power, Erdoğan increasingly views the nationalist party as a threat that needs to be dealt with.
Feb 10, 2023
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  • Hasim Tekines
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Articles & Testimony
When Will Turkey Ratify Sweden and Finland’s NATO Accession?
The key to an “F-16s for NATO expansion” agreement lies in the sequencing, with President Biden facing congressional opposition and President Erdogan dealing with economic and election challenges.
Jan 25, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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Supported by the

Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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