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ترکیه

Policy Analysis on ترکیه

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Articles & Testimony
As Civil War Rages, Diplomacy Fails with Libya’s Haftar
For years, international mediators have insisted that there is no military solution to the war, but it is also time to recognize that there is no diplomatic solution with Khalifa Haftar.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Three Governments Confront the Coronavirus
The rebel administration in Idlib and the Kurdish-led government in the northeast have been more proactive and transparent than the Assad regime, but their populations still need urgent, direct international aid—without the UN’s imprimatur if necessary.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
۳۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Nick Danforth
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Idlib May Become the Next Gaza Strip
Given the military situation on the ground and the overriding interests of each party, the jihadist-run rebel pocket will likely be further reduced into a small, overpopulated border strip north of the M4 highway.
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Idlib and Beyond: Perspectives from Syria
How can the United States mitigate the worsening humanitarian crisis in Idlib, and what do Syrian activists on the ground want from Washington?
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Raed al-Saleh
  • Omar Alshogre
  • Rajaa Altalli
  • Naomi Kikoler
Articles & Testimony
The Crisis in Idlib
Given the near-certainty that conflict will erupt again in northwest Syria, the United States should start planning for how it might leverage that next outbreak to push the parties toward a political process.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Turkey’s Imperial Foreign Policy: Vision vs. Reality
A deep dive into the evolution of Erdogan’s regional approach and how it informs the current crises in Syria and other hotspots.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A New Erdogan-Putin Deal in Idlib May Help—For Now
Turkey, Russia, and Washington have compelling reasons to welcome a new ceasefire agreement, however imperfect, but they still need to address the longer-term dangers posed by the Assad regime’s murderously maximalist strategy.
۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنش‌‌ رسانه‌های عربی، ایرانی و ترکیه‌ای به استیضاح رئیس‌جمهور ترامپ
این مطلب به چگونگی بحث رسانه‌های منطقه خاورمیانه درباره فرایند استیضاح کنگره و پیامدهای احتمالی آن در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری سال ۲۰۲۰می‌پردازد.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s ‘Mini Empire’ in Libya and Syria
A deep dive into the evolution of Turkey’s Middle East policy and the mixed results it has had in two Russian-fueled conflict zones.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Options for Pressuring Russia in Idlib Are Limited
Weighty domestic concerns and geopolitical fears will likely keep Erdogan from pushing too hard against the current Russian-Syrian campaign, but the parties may yet broker a temporary deal to carve the province in half.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Latest Battle for Idlib Could Send Another Wave of Refugees to Europe
Various displacement scenarios may unfold as the fighting escalates, each carrying a high risk of negative humanitarian and economic consequences even if the parties live up to their promises.
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Status Quo in Northeast Syria: Humanitarian and Security Implications
Three leading experts assess the current balance of power and its potential effects on counterterrorism, refugee resettlement, governance, economics, and other crucial issues.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
  • Gonul Tol
  • Dana Stroul
Russian president Vladimir Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Growing Interests in Libya
As in other conflict zones, Moscow cares little about reaching a peace deal so long as it can outmaneuver the West strategically while securing port and energy access—with private contractors playing an increasingly important role.
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Making the Most of the Berlin Conference on Libya
If the latest conference is to succeed, the principal actors stoking the civil war must endorse a genuine ceasefire and a return to Libyan internal dialogue.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire or Escalation in Libya?
After the fall of Sirte, Erdogan and Putin’s desired ceasefire can only be achieved with Washington’s support.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
The Obstacles Still Facing Israel’s Leviathan Gas Field
Regional and commercial challenges require an evolving business plan.
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Assad Is Growing Stronger Under Trump’s Nonexistent Syria Policy
The Caesar Act will not put an end to the Syrian catastrophe so long as Washington keeps ceding political and military leverage to adversaries who do not care about human rights.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Turkey Pivots to Tripoli: Implications for Libya’s Civil War and U.S. Policy
Facing pressure from General Haftar and his foreign military backers, the Tripoli government has welcomed the helping hand extended by Ankara, whose own lack of regional options has drawn it into the middle of another conflict.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Ben Fishman

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