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ترکیه

Policy Analysis on ترکیه

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Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Resilient Autocrat
A closer look at how the levers of state—and powerful friends—could help Erdogan win his toughest election yet.
۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Bafel Talabani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK
The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.
۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mehmet Alaca
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنش‌های منطقه‌ای به اعتراضات در اسرائیل
بسیاری از رسانه‌های خاورمیانه از بحران در اسرائیل برای تقویت لحن آتش‌افروزانه خود استفاده کردند، ولی برخی تحلیل‌های متفاوت از دریچهٔ اصول دموکراتیک و صلح اعراب-اسرائیل هم مطرح شده است.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • فرانسیس مک‌دونو
Brief Analysis
Israel May Lose Oil Access in Baghdad-Kurdish Deal
Years of quiet and fairly lucrative oil trading between the Kurds and Israel are now being threatened by messy legal disputes involving Baghdad and Turkey.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Henry Rome
Turkey CHP
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can the Turkish Opposition’s Refugee Policies Actually Improve Syrians’ Situations?
With elections approaching, the Turkish opposition may have an opportunity to rethink Syrian refugee policies.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Joshua Levkowitz
Photo of an oil facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG Oil and the Slipping Dream of Financial Independence
Following the ICC's decision, the KRG has limited options in its fight for financial independence from Baghdad.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nawras Jaff
Brief Analysis
The Urgent U.S. Role in Restarting Iraq-Turkey Oil Exports
A pipeline arbitration ruling has imperiled a recent Baghdad-Kurdistan breakthrough, but this roadblock can be removed if the United States acts urgently to disrupt spoilers and help constructive players.
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Syrian refugees leaving Turkey after earthquake
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Turkish Backlash:
How Street Interviews Spread Anti–Syrian Refugee Sentiment
A narrowing space for reliable media has encouraged alternative platforms that promote hateful language, bigotry, and racism directed toward Syrians.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sude Akgundogdu
Kemal_Kılıçdaroğlu_
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Opposition, Straining at the Seams
Opposition factions face numerous difficulties in the lead-up to the next elections, as internal disputes may undermine their success.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • M. Bahadırhan Dinçaslan
Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy
Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
IDF Humanitarian Aid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Crisis and Regional Cooperation: Israeli Response to the Earthquake in Syria and Turkey
Israeli aid efforts to Turkey and Syria have been multifaceted after the earthquake, despite the difficult political circumstances.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nir Boms
  • Joelle Rosenthal
UAE aid in Jableh, Syria, following February 6, 2023, earthquake
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Disaster Dynamics:
Assessing Middle East Responses to the Turkey-Syria Earthquake and Other Destructive Events
Regional generosity was on display after the February 6 temblor, but aid decisions do appear to be driven by political considerations.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sarah Cahn
  • Erik Yavorsky
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Disaster—and Erdogan’s: How the Earthquake Could Spell the End of His Rule
The president might find the current situation ominously similar to two decades ago, when a combination of devastating natural disaster and deep public dissatisfaction swept his Islamist faction to power.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Putin’s Position in MENA and the Turkish Elections
Putin’s shift in MENA policy suggests efforts to smooth the way for Erdoğan’s electoral bid.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Baraa Sabri
Brief Analysis
Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya
Turkey’s tragic earthquake and Egypt’s economic crisis may lead both governments to ease their conflicts over Libya.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Post earthquake recover efforts in Kahramanmaras, Turkey, in February 2023 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Earthquake in Syria and Turkey: U.S. Policy Implications
A panel of experts offers on-the-ground insights from the disaster zone and discusses the political and policy consequences of the still-unfolding humanitarian crisis.
۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Can Selcuki
  • Amany Qaddour
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
How Will Turkey’s Earthquake Affect the Current Election Cycle?
Once Ankara meets the initial challenge of determining an election date amid unimaginable human tragedy, it will face a campaign season dominated by debates over the conduct of relief efforts and the government’s level of responsibility for the growing death toll.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Photo of an oil facility in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Articles & Testimony
Tipping Point of the Iraq-KRG Energy Dispute
Baghdad’s legal wins won’t mean much if it mishandles the political end, angers Turkey, and further damages the country’s reputation as a reliable oil partner.
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Coming of Erdoğan’s Fourth War for Control: The AKP’s Looming Showdown with Turkey’s Nationalists
Although his alliance with the MHP has kept him in power, Erdoğan increasingly views the nationalist party as a threat that needs to be dealt with.
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Hasim Tekines
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Articles & Testimony
When Will Turkey Ratify Sweden and Finland’s NATO Accession?
The key to an “F-16s for NATO expansion” agreement lies in the sequencing, with President Biden facing congressional opposition and President Erdogan dealing with economic and election challenges.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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