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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Wagner Group in Syria: Profiting Off Failed States
Despite discord between the Wagner Group and the Russian government, the entrenched economic and military engagement of Wagner forces in Syria is unlikely to change soon.
Jul 21, 2023
◆
  • Emad Bouzo
Brief Analysis
On Syria Aid, Don’t Bet on the Security Council
Seventeen Russian vetoes have hobbled the council’s ability to keep humanitarian assistance flowing, so Washington and its allies should look to the General Assembly instead—or take matters into their own hands on the Turkish border.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Autonomous_Administration_of_North_and_East_Syria
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Approach to Erdoğan’s Victory
Worried by the implications of Erdoğan's reelection, the Kurds in northeastern Syria need active support from the United States now more than ever.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
  • Baraa Sabri
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Problem with al-Hol: The Future for ISIS-Affiliated Families
Watch this video explainer detailing the challenges arising from the tens of thousands of foreign detainees awaiting repatriation in Syrian camps.
Jul 18, 2023
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
Jun 29, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Families of Islamic State fighters in Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Future of Repatriation from Northeast Syria
From potential SDF trials to Assad’s steady normalization, the widening number of “known unknowns” has increased the urgency of taking action on Islamic State detainees.
Jun 26, 2023
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
How the Caesar Act Restricts Normalisation with Syria
The landmark legislation has played a critical role in the evolution of American sanctions, and follow-on congressional restrictions will largely prevent any efforts to bring Assad back into the economic fold.
Jun 17, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Matthew Zweig
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Lost the Syrian Civil War
As part of its strategic blueprint against Israel, Tehran is prepared to pay a steep price to continue consolidating its military presence in Syria, and Arab normalization with Assad will not change that trend in the least.
Jun 2023
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syrian Perspectives on the Turkish Elections
Though Syria policies were at the center of the Turkish elections, the future for many Syrians remains unclear even after an Erdoğan victory.
Jun 12, 2023
◆
  • Emad Bouzo
Qazi Muhammed salutes at the founding of the Kurdish Republic of Mahabad in 1946 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Articles & Testimony
Russia and the Kurds: A Soft-Power Tool for the Kremlin?
An in-depth look at how Russian leaders have played the Kurdish card over the past two centuries, including recent engagement in Syria and Iraq.
Summer 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
What to Do With Families of Islamic State Foreign Fighters
Backed by hard data, on-the-ground observations, and best practices, three experts explore the thorny question of repatriating the children and spouses of imprisoned jihadists.
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Martyn Warr
  • Austin Doctor
  • Devorah Margolin
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Muhandis Company Logo tight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Arabic Original of Muhandis General Company Articles of Incorporation
PDF copy of the Arabic original of the February 26, 2023, articles of incorporation of the Muhandis General Company for Construction, Engineering and Mechanical, Agricultural and Industrial Contracting (hereafter shortened to Muhandis General Company).
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Sanctioning a Syrian Jihadist Leader: Implications of a Joint U.S.-Turkish Designation
Their willingness to sanction the top HTS money man after years without a designation suggests that the group’s charm offensive has not assuaged concerns in either capital.
Jun 2, 2023
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brussels Conference
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Brussels Conference: An Opportunity to Inject Transparency into Syrian Earthquake Aid
With a focus on "the future of Syria," the Brussels Conference can be a platform through which Western and Arab countries can coordinate aid to Syria in an era of normalization.
Jun 2, 2023
◆
  • Bassam Barabandi
Ras al-Ain
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Border of the EU Starts at Syria’s M4
Driven by forced conscription, economic deterioration, and lack of opportunities, Syrians are increasingly crossing the M4 in northern Syria on their journey to Europe.
May 26, 2023
◆
  • Rena Netjes
GCC
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Normalization and the GCC: Adjusting to A New Modus Vivendi
Though GCC member states may disagree on Syria's normalization, the collective memory of past conflicts and the desire for regional stability will likely override internal divisions.
May 10, 2023
◆
  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
Articles & Testimony
Navigating Press Conferences and Palaces
Separating propaganda from truth has always been a challenge in places like Syria, but it is increasingly so in Washington as well given the rise of myriad forms of misinformation.
April 28, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Countering “ISIS at Large” in Syria
Examining CENTCOM’s mix of unilateral and partnered operations against senior ISIS officials in Syria provides useful insights into the group’s current capabilities and the focus of U.S. attention in the region.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Political Rights and Civil Liberties in the Middle East: Trends in Freedom House Data Since 2010
The organization’s latest report showed persistent backsliding last year and since the Arab Spring, along with dramatic drops in a handful of countries and warnings of further drops next year.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Camille Jablonski
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters: Back to Normal? The Region Reaches Out to Assad
Two experts discuss why Arab governments are increasingly normalizing with the Syrian regime and what consequences this may hold for U.S. policy.
Apr 25, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Ahed al-Hendi
◆ Middle East Matters

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Rubin Family Arab Politics Program

The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant, and Director of the Institute's Junior Research Program.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Goldberger Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where he specializes in military and security affairs in the Middle East.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Rubin Family Arab Politics Program. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
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