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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in 2023: Threat Levels and Repatriation Questions
The latest UN report on the terrorist organization highlights the need for more progress on addressing repatriation challenges, new financing methods, weapons proliferation, and threats to African stability, among other issues.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
President Biden delivers the 2022 State of the Union address in Washington - source: U.S. government
تحلیل کوتاه
سخنرانی سالانه روسای جمهوری آمریکا و خاورمیانه
فشرده‌ای از آنچه سه رئیس‌جمهور گذشته آمریکا در سخنرانی سالانه خود در کنگره درباره منطقه گفته‌اند ‌-‌و نگفته‌اند.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • اریک فیلی
Akram Kaabi meets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdanov in Moscow in December 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Akram Kaabi’s Visit to Moscow and Its Aftermath
Russia now feels emboldened to openly host Iraqi "resistance" leaders with no government role—including designated terrorists—to discuss their shared interest in confronting the West and working together in Syria and Iraq.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
◆ Militia Spotlight
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkish Drone Strikes and Building Concerns About Washington in Syria’s Autonomous Administration
Some U.S. allies believe the Biden administration has been noticeably muted regarding Turkey's escalations in northern Syria and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Baraa Sabri
Erdogan and Putin
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Yes Vote on Syria Aid Will Come With a Price
Moscow’s willingness to approve another UN extension has more to do with advancing normalization between Turkey and the Assad regime than helping Syrian civilians, who will remain hostage to Russian demands if nothing is done before the next vote this summer.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Boys carry bread as they walk along a street in Jaramana, on the outskirts of Damascus, Syria - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will the Russian Intervention in Ukraine End Humanitarian Assistance for Syrians?
Changing geopolitical dynamics and upcoming international decisions have the potential to make Syria's humanitarian crisis worse than ever.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mahmood Alhosain
  • Jonas Ecke
syriaaid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Exploring Russia's Views on Humanitarian Aid in Syria
With the UN Security Council set to vote on whether to extend UN cross-border aid efforts into northwest Syria, Russia is once again poised to jeopardize humanitarian assistance to the 4.1 million civilians who rely on this lifeline to survive.
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Jonathan Robinson
Brief Analysis
To Ease Syria’s Energy Crisis, Assad Must Return to the Negotiating Table
Washington can help alleviate the country's fuel crisis, but only if Damascus and Moscow agree to extend the cross-border aid mechanism and resume progress toward a final political settlement.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Erik Yavorsky
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
تحلیل کوتاه
تغییر الگوهای جمعیتی شکل خاورمیانه را تغییر خواهد داد
چند کشور از وزنه‌های سنگین جمعیتی منطقه در دهه‌های آینده از گردونه عقب خواهند ماند، و تغییرات عمده در سطح جهانی ممکن است بر نحوه رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ برای نفوذ در خاورمیانه تاثیرگذار باشد.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • پاتریک کلاوسون
Photo showing the Iron Dome defense system intercepting Hamas rockets over Ashkelon, Israel, in May 2021.
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Is Hesitant About Supplying Ukraine with Air Defense Systems
Jerusalem remains concerned that angering the Russians could jeopardize its crucial national security interests in Syria, though domestic elements and U.S. officials are still pressing it to do more.
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks in a recorded interview released in Jan. 2019. Photo credit: Screenshot by Cole Bunzel via Twitter.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of al-Jawlani’s Pragmatism in Idlib and Afrin
Despite years of overhauling HTS’s global reputation, al-Jawlani’s strategy in northwest Syria has long been driven by opportunism instead of ideology.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Yilmaz Saeed
تحلیل کوتاه
قطعنامه سازمان ملل در محکومیت الحاق مناطقی از اوکراین به روسیه: رأی کشورهای خاورمیانه چه بود؟
بیشتر کشورهای منطقه از این اقدام حمایت کردند؛ با یک رأی منفی، دو تغییر مهم از زمان قطعنامه ماه مارس، و چندین بیانیه محکم در حمایت از تمامیت ارضی.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • David Schenker
al-Shaitat Memorial
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Daesh’s Forgotten Massacre in Deir al-Zour
Justice for the victims of the al-Shaitat massacre is only just starting to emerge, and the international community must do its part.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Omar Abu Layla
Flag of the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Shifting Lines and IDPs: Azaz, Afrin, and the HTS Incursion
HTS is on the move through northern Syria, leaving locals in Afrin and Azaz even more vulnerable.
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Rena Netjes
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The SDF Is Caught Between Turkey and the Islamic State Again
As happened with past incursions, Erdogan’s latest invasion threats and preparatory strikes are fatally distracting the SDF from its crucial counterterrorism mission—and at a time when jihadist activities against it are on the rise.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ido Levy
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Insight into As-Suwayda’s Position in the Syrian Situation
As-Suwayda has been unstable since the onset of the Syrian revolution. The increasingly fractured political leadership in this majority-Druze region reflects how Syria’s ongoing conflict has warped and splintered local governance.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ishtar Al Shami
Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Domestic Audience for Turkish Foreign Policy
With elections in the balance, Erdoğan is playing a risky game of international normalizations in the hope that the Turkish electorate will approve of economic ties and immigrant solutions.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Batu Coşkun
  • Gökhan Çınkara
Jordan-Syria Border
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Captagon War: Smuggling on the Jordanian-Syrian Border
As drug smuggling increases across Jordan’s border with Syria, Jordanian authorities need to seek solutions in both the security and social spheres.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Saud Al-Sharafat
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Detention Facilities in Syria, Iraq Remain Vulnerable to Islamic State Attacks
An attempted suicide operation against al-Hawl camp highlights the ongoing risks posed by indefinite detention of foreigners associated with IS.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Devorah Margolin

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