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Shia Politics

Policy Analysis on Shia Politics

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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Poll Shows Lebanese Frustrations with Government, Iran, and Other Powers
New polling results from Lebanon emphasize ways in which the country’s public is frustrated domestically and at key Hezbollah ally Iran, while expressing mixed views of other powers.
Jun 22, 2023
◆
  • Catherine Cleveland
Banque du Liban, BDL commissioner Riyad Salameh, Hezbollah symbol, ATM machine
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Cash Cabal:
How Hezbollah Profits from Lebanon's Financial Crisis
The Lebanese economy requires an urgent overhaul, and the international community must press for deep reforms.
Jun 22, 2023
◆
  • Samara Azzi
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Muhandis Company Logo tight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Arabic Original of Muhandis General Company Articles of Incorporation
PDF copy of the Arabic original of the February 26, 2023, articles of incorporation of the Muhandis General Company for Construction, Engineering and Mechanical, Agricultural and Industrial Contracting (hereafter shortened to Muhandis General Company).
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Supporters of Iraqi Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr gather during a sit-in, inside the parliament building in Baghdad - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Are Sadr’s Plans for the Elections in Iraq?
Although the Sadrist Movement withdrew from politics, participating in the upcoming provincial elections would provide them with critical momentum that they don't want to miss out on.
May 24, 2023
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  • Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Another Round of Negotiations with the Houthis: AQAP as Potential Spoiler in Yemen
If talks with the Houthis continue to ignore key Yemeni stakeholders, al-Qaeda is poised to absorb disillusioned tribal groups into its ranks.
May 16, 2023
◆
  • Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
CMC March 16, 2023 draft regulation of digits; media content in Iraq
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi CMC Draft Regulation on Digital Content in Iraq
English translation of the March 16, 2023, draft regulation on digital content by the Iraqi Communications and Media Commission.
May 15, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Kufa Mosque
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sadr’s Withdrawal and the New Splinter Group of Ashab al-Qadiya
By suspending the Sadrist Movements activities, Sadr hopes to prevent the growth of a new Mahdist splinter group that threatens his religious and political credibility.
Apr 28, 2023
◆
  • Haider al-Musawi
Lebanon Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Federalism Work in Lebanon?
For those promoting federalism in Lebanon, a historical analysis of the country's geographic and ethnosectarian divisions demonstrates the necessity of inclusive discussion and collective engagement.
Mar 20, 2023
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  • Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Law: Signaling a Short-Lived Run for Iraq’s Independent MPs?
A change to the Sainte-Laguë representation system will significantly hinder the ability of smaller parties and independent candidates to win seats in Iraq's next elections.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
  • Ashleigh Whelan
  • Mohanad Adnan
Blinken Hussein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Variables the United States Should Consider on Dollar Smuggling in Iraq
U.S. pressure on Iraq to prevent dollar smuggling and dinar laundering can protect Iraq’s sovereignty and weaken Iran. But if executed without deliberation, this pressure could allow Russia and China to enhance their positions in the Middle East.
Feb 15, 2023
◆
  • Frzand Sherko
JT
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s "Muqawama Government" Drives Out Prominent LGBTQ Advocate
Officials appear to be cracking down on freedom of speech and alternative lifestyles opposed by the self-styled militia "resistance."
Feb 10, 2023
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Ghaani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Do Iran’s Protests Mean for Iraq and the Kurdistan Region?
Internal instability in Iran may cause significant religious, economic, and political repercussions across the border in Iraq.
Jan 17, 2023
◆
  • Zubir R. Ahmed
  • Nawzad Shukri
Sudani CF
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Spokesmen Reflect on Sudani Inviting U.S. Forces to Remain
Asaib Ahl al-Haq is signaling pragmatism, while Kataib Hezbollah is contorting its arguments to allow it to play along, albeit without explicitly accepting a U.S. military presence.
Jan 17, 2023
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iran Womens Protests
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iranian Daughters: Struggling for the Rights Their Mothers Lost in the Revolution
Activists fighting for women's rights in Iran today have learned from their predecessors' mistakes and are more determined than ever to achieve gender equality.
Jan 13, 2023
◆
  • Sepideh Zamani
Lebanon Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Lebanon Opinion Poll Shows Continued Internal Dissatisfaction and Desire for International Partners
Lebanese respondents expressed positive views of the maritime deal and World Cup in Qatar, but seemed disappointed by almost everything else.
Dec 20, 2022
◆
  • Frances McDonough
Karrada District Iraq
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Perpetrators of Stephen Troell’s Killing in Baghdad Remain Unknown
The circumstances surrounding Troell's death in November clearly indicate that the murder is tied to political infighting and the ongoing issue of armed militias in Iraq.
Dec 15, 2022
◆
  • Mohanad Faris
Iraq Oil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Could Iraqis Gain from Their Oil Windfall?
Although Iraq stands to gain significant revenues from an oil windfall, urgent reforms are needed to ensure these funds benefit the people, not just the elites.
Nov 18, 2022
◆
  • Mohammed Hussein
Iraqi Protestor
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s ‘Armed Protest Syndrome’: From a Clash of Ideas to Violence
In order to restore the stability and authority of the Iraqi state, the Sudani government must endeavor to end the years-long connection between protests and reciprocal violence.
Nov 14, 2022
◆
  • Abbas Abboud Salem
al-Sudani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Minister Allocation in Iraq’s New Government
Although ministry positions in Iraq have long been used as bartering tools, the new government could make a huge difference by supporting key ministries with real solutions and competent appointees.
Oct 27, 2022
◆
  • Nawras Jaff
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Demonstrations for Mahsa Amini: A Turning Point in Iran
Despite the Iranian regime’s efforts to suppress recent protests, they have quickly spread to every corner of the country, making this one of the most important events in Iran in more than four decades and suggesting this could be a turning point for the country's future.
Oct 7, 2022
◆
  • Ziryan Rojhelati

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