رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

معاملات تسلیحاتی روسیه-ایران چه معنایی برای خاورمیانه دارد

در بلندمدت، افزایش جریان تسلیحات احتمالا باعث تشدید تنش‌ها در منطقه خواهد شد، کشورهای عربی را وادار خواهد کرد تا زرادخانه‌های خود را تقویت کنند، و همه نیروهای آمریکا و شرکای آن را، که با گروه‌های نیابتی تهران مقابله می‌کنند، به خطر خواهد انداخت.

۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

گرانت راملی

Articles & Testimony

Jordan’s Retreat from China on 5G Could Signal a Growing Distance

Amman will necessarily continue seeking Chinese direct investment for various purposes, but its rejection of Huawei echoes U.S. concerns about Beijing’s involvement in sensitive sectors.

۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

David Schenker

A meeting of the International Solar Alliance in India - source: ISA

Articles & Testimony

Minilateralism: A Concept That Is Changing the World Order

The UAE, Israel, India, and other countries are showing why smaller-scale collaboration based on shared interests can offer distinct advantages in a multipolar world.

۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

Nickolay Mladenov

An Azeri woman with an Azerbaijan flag in the Nogorno-Karaback region of Armenia - source: Reuters

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

تنش‌های ایران با آذربایجان؛ نشانه تحولات گسترده‌تر در جنوب قفقاز

در بحبوحه شعله‌ور شدن منازعه ناگورنو-قره‌باغ، ایران و روسیه به دقت تحولات جنوب قفقاز را زیر نظر دارند؛ از گرمی روابط اسرائیل با باکو تا چرخش احتمالی در کنترل بر کریدورهای حمل‌ونقل منطقه‌ای.

۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

آنا بورشچفسکایا
اندرو جی. تابلر

Brief Analysis

China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?

Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.

۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

Louis Dugit-Gros
Sabina Henneberg

Articles & Testimony

Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?

One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.

۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

◆

Simon Henderson

A man watches Russian president Vladimir Putin speak on television in the Crimean city of Simferopol - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Russia’s Disinformation Machine Has a Middle East Advantage

The region has been most receptive to Moscow’s war narrative, which Russian state-run media outlets have been permitted to spread far and wide with no Ukrainian or Western counter-narrative.

۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters

Video

Articles & Testimony

Middle East Matters, Episode Two: The Mideast Impact of the Ukraine War, One Year On

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a ripple effect on global politics, including in the Middle East.

۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Hanin Ghaddar
Grant Rumley
Anna Borshchevskaya

◆ Middle East Matters

Newspapers at a shop in Tehran display headlines about the China-brokered Iran-Saudi deal in March 2023 - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

توافق ایران-سعودی در پکن چه معنایی دارد ‌ــ‌یا ندارد

چین میانجی توافق شد، ولی این به معنای نظمی جدید به رهبری چین در خاورمیانه نیست ‌ــ‌در واقع، چه بسا تنش‌های منطقه‌ای را تشدید کند.

۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

هنری رُم
گرانت راملی

Wang Yi, director of China's Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, and Minister of State and national security adviser of Saudi Arabia Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban shake hands in Beijing in March 2023 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The Saudi-Iran Deal Reflects a New Global Reality

Leaders in the Middle East feel more threatened by the competition between China and the United States than by the individual powers themselves, so Washington needs to adapt accordingly.

۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Michael Singh

Brief Analysis

China’s Track Record on Middle East Diplomacy

Beijing has responded to regional conflicts with a bevy of multilateral forums, peace plans, and envoys, but without the deeper commitments and follow-through required to resolve them.

۱۵ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Carol Silber

Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.

Articles & Testimony

With Saudi-Iran Diplomacy, Is China Pushing the US Aside in the Middle East?

The surprise development may have more to do with resolving the Yemen war than rebuking the Biden administration, but the full implications will take time to register.

۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

A Year of War in Ukraine

As the conflict enters year two, it remains unclear if the West has fully internalized the right lessons about Moscow, its partners in the “Global South,” or the parameters of long-term victory.

March 2023

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Articles & Testimony

How Europe Is Quietly Putting ‘Strategic Autonomy’ into Practice

The hard lessons learned in Syria have given European leaders the confidence and tools they needed to respond forcefully in Ukraine.

۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Louis Dugit-Gros

Russian President Vladimi Putin tours an exhibit of Tsarist weapons on display in the UAE in 2007 - source: Reuteurs

Articles & Testimony

Russia Uses Middle Eastern Ties to Mitigate Isolation

By taking largely ambivalent stances on the Ukraine war, states in the region have helped ease the effects of international sanctions against Moscow.

۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy

Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.

۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳

◆

Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

The Treacherous Triangle of Syria, Iran, and Russia

If the Assad regime's two main allies emerge victorious in Syria and Ukraine, U.S. adversaries will likely conclude that the pros of challenging Washington ultimately outweigh the negatives.

Spring 2023

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Fikra Forum

The Netanyahu Government’s Approach to Russia and Ukraine

Despite increased pressure on both sides, Netanyahu is likely to maintain Israel's nonaligned approach to the conflict in Ukraine in an effort to preserve his immediate regional interests.

۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳

◆

Daniel Rakov

Iranian president Raisi is greeted upon his arrival for a state visit to China in February 2023 - source: Government of Iran

تحلیل کوتاه

نتایج سفر رئیسی به چین بیشتر نمادین است تا واقعی

سفر رئیس‌جمهور ایران به پکن به همراه هیاتی عالیرتبه تاکید دوباره‌ای بود بر محدودیت‌های رابطه ایران و چین و احتمالاً باعث افزایش بی‌میلی تهران به سازش‌ هسته‌ای خواهد شد.

۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳

◆

هنری رُم

A Ukrainian flag flies at a naval base in Crimea in 2014 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The Ukraine War & the Middle East

One Year On

In a series of policy articles, media presentations, and media appearances, Washington Institute scholars discuss what could lie ahead for Ukraine, the Middle East, and the world as the war enters its second year.

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳

◆

Shaina Katz

Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

Never miss a breaking event on U.S. policy interests in the Middle East. Customize your subscription to our expert analysis, op-eds, live events, and special reports.

Featured experts

مایکل سینگ

مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است

آنا بورشچفسکایا

آنا بورشچِفسکایا هموند ارشد انستیتو واشگنتن برای سیاست شرق نزدیک و هموند «بنیاد اروپایی دموکراسی» است. او قبلا با «شورای آتلانتیک» و «انستیتو پیترسون برای اقتصاد بین‌المللی»، و نیز به عنوان تحلیلگر برای یک پیمانکار نظامی آمریکایی در افغانستان کار کرده است.

گرانت راملی

گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.

منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

Featured experts

منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Policy Analysis on رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

Sign Up for Email Updates from The Washington Institute

Featured experts