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عراق

Policy Analysis on عراق

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مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها
تعارض در شبکه تهدید ایران در عراق: رقابت و سبقت‌جویی شبه‌نظامیان
گروه‌های تندرو عراق از یک سو می خواهند تقاضای طرفداران خود را برای اقدام علیه نیروهای آمریکایی برآورده کنند و از سوی دیگر مانع از افزایش تنش‌ بین آمریکا و ایران شوند و همزمان بازوهای غیرنظامی خود را توسعه دهند.
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • مایکل نایتز
  • کریسپین اسمیت
  • حمدی ملک
Brief Analysis
How to Keep the Islamic State Down in 2022 and Beyond
The group and its offshoots pursue conventional warfare campaigns as a rule, not an exception, so the United States needs to enhance its regional military partnerships accordingly.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ido Levy
Akram and Abu Fadak, Basra, Jan 1, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muhandis Replaced by Not One Man, But Two?
Abu Fadak and Akram Kaabi seem to have inherited the PMF and "resistance" parts of the late militia leader's portfolio.
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Abu Fadak
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Abu Fadak Tries to Split the Shrine Units
Recent moves by the senior PMF commander are seemingly aimed at sowing divisions among four key militias that do not answer to the so-called "resistance."
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
A U.S. military helicopter evacuates personnel from the American embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan
Articles & Testimony
Trading Places
After two decades of direct U.S. involvement, what went so wrong in Afghanistan compared to the relative successes seen in Iraq?
۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • David Pollock
Ababil
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saraya Ababeel Claims Baghdad Drone and Rocket Attacks
A minor sub-group took credit for recent airport strikes, indicating a return to the "facade" strategy and a role for AAH in the latest escalation.
۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Militia with 23mm driving west outside IZ, May 26, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Militia Attacks in Iraq and Syria in Early 2022
The process of assuaging the militia support base was carefully stage-managed in the first week of the new year, with Iran and Nujaba setting the ground rules.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Islamic State fighters in Iraq
In-Depth Reports
Soldiers of End-Times
Assessing the Military Effectiveness of the Islamic State
The IS military project led not only to the announcement of a “caliphate,” but to the proliferation of jihadist franchises that devastated countries, displaced millions, and killed tens of thousands.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ido Levy
Nujana Syria
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Playground: Kinetic Operations Refocus on East Syria
Iran-backed groups seem to be directing their more dangerous attacks against coalition forces in Syria, not Iraq, and the trend could accelerate in early 2022.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Akram speech
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Akram Kaabi's Revealing Speech
Kaabi has long been Iran's chosen man in the self-styled Iraqi "resistance," and his latest remarks seemed like an attempt to seize control of militia public messaging.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken host the Summit for Democracy. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Summit for Democracy Skips the Arab World
To address the region’s democracy gap, Washington needs to develop consistent messaging on reform objectives and help its partners focus on achievable goals such as protecting free speech, dissidents, and civil society.
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
A New Chance at Kingmaking for Iraqi Kurds
With militias on the back foot, the United States should lean on Kurdish and Iraqi leaders to find unity of purpose in confronting the destabilizing actions of pro-Iran groups.
۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
KSS recruitment numbers
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Fake KSS Recruitment Drive
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada may have exaggerated its recruiting numbers, but the episode points to militias' desperation to look potent and regain leverage by threatening to destabilize Iraq in early 2022.
۲۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
AK image
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ashab al-Kahf's Takeover of the Convoy Strategy
Militia attacks on supply convoys are experiencing a (likely temporary) lull, and the sub-group Ashab al-Kahf appears to have taken the lead.
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
تحلیل کوتاه
عراق؛ انتخابات بدون دموکراسی؟
مناقشه دوساله و عمدتا خطرآفرینی که منتهی به این انتخاب شد، بسیاری از پرشورترین هواداران جنبش جوانان را از روند انتخابات کاملا سرخورده کرده است، بنابرین واشنگتن باید تمرکز خود را به حوزه محدودی معطوف سازد.
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • بلال وهاب
  • Calvin Wilder
A Middle Eastern migrant with guards at the Belarus/Poland border. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The EU Migrant Crisis: Options for Border Security and U.S. Interests
Spurred by conflicts in the Middle East, North Africa, and Afghanistan, the migration emergency in Belarus gives Washington an opportunity to foster cooperative agreements and goodwill.
۱۹ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
  • Calvin Wilder
Sabereen logo
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sabereen News Criticizes Iran for Lack of Support
Elements of Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib Hezbollah are seemingly trying to extract domestic and Iranian support for more forceful pushback against their recent political isolation.
۱۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Quadcopters in Syria and Iraq, 2019-2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 2: Drone Attack on the Prime Minister
Militias followed up Qais al-Khazali's threats against Kadhimi by attacking his residence, shattering the narrative of victimhood they had been building through protests.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Sit-in tent, Baghdad, November 6, 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 1: Protesting the Election
In the wake of their failed election campaigns and other recent setbacks, militias sought to deepen their claims of victimhood and politically damage Prime Minister Kadhimi with protests.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Rocket
Brief Analysis
Militia Rocket Attacks on the Iraqi National Intelligence Service
Such attacks are a specialized subset of violent militia actions, with the most recent incident likely undertaken by Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight

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