خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

New Lebanon Opinion Poll Shows Continued Internal Dissatisfaction and Desire for International Partners

Lebanese respondents expressed positive views of the maritime deal and World Cup in Qatar, but seemed disappointed by almost everything else.

۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Frances McDonough

Fikra Forum

New Saudi Poll: Some Surprises on the U.S., Iran, Israel, Oil, and More

Saudis voiced their thoughts on global partners, internal dynamics, and regional issues, including opinions on the Iranian protests and nuclear dilemma.

۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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David Pollock

Articles & Testimony

Are the Saudis Reconsidering Their Nuclear Posture?

Various historical and recent factors suggest that the nuclear dimension of Gulf politics is again in flux amid a deepening world energy crisis.

۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

صادرات نفت ایران در برابر تحریم‌ها آسیب‌پذیر است

ایران کماکان مقدار زیادی نفت صادر می‌کند که هم یک منبع کلیدی درآمد رژیم است ‌‌و هم هدفی بالقوه برای افزایش فشار اقتصادی بر رژیم.

۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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هنری رُم

Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East in a Multipolar Era: Why America’s Allies Are Flirting With Russia and China

Because many states are eschewing both alignment with a single great power and nonalignment, the best U.S. response to this “omni-alignment” is creating more tailored opportunities for high-value cooperation with Washington.

۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Michael Singh

Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani receives President of the United Arab Emirates Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Doha, Qatar - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

UAE Leader Visits Qatar: An Advance, Not a Breakthrough

Sandwiched between meetings with a Taliban leader and Israel’s president, the Doha trip reflects the scope and versatility of Emirati diplomacy.

۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Qatari and Saudi soccer players in the 2014 Gulf Cup final game - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

جام جهانی قطر و کشورهای رقیب در خلیج فارس

بعد از نزدیک به دو سال توافق کشورهای همسایه قطر بر سر رفع شکاف دیپلماتیک‌ با دوحه، از این پس تنش‌های بازمانده و دعواهای تاریخی بخش عمده‌ای از رقابت‌های پشت پرده آنها را خواهد ساخت.

۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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سایمون هندرسون

Articles & Testimony

Inflation, Soccer, Russia’s Mischief—Will Anyone Pay Attention to OPEC+?

Whether or not the cartel tweaks production quotas at its next meeting, ongoing global crises and the approach of a dark, cold winter in Europe may yet cause economic shudders.

۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Lieutenant General Asim Munir, newly appointed as the new Chief Of Army Staff of Pakistan, meets with President Arif Alvi in Islamabad - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Pakistan’s New Military Leader and the Gulf

For U.S. and Gulf officials alike, the appointment of a potential military dictator in the world’s only nuclear-armed Islamic state bears close watching.

۲۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Saudi men take pictures at the Al Souda mountain - source: Reuters

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

درون عربستان سعودی: گزارش یک سفر

کارشناسان انستیتو واشنگتن بعد از یک سفر مفصل گروهی به پنج شهر پادشاهی عربستان، دیدگاه‌هایی از ملاقات‌های خود با مقامات دولتی، دینی، تجاری، و فرهنگی ارائه می‌کنند.

۱۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲

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رابرت ستلوف
دیوید شنکر

Arab Spring Tunisia Yemen Bahrain Egypt Libya Syria

Brief Analysis

The Sectarian Shadow Over Bahrain’s Election

The results will indicate how the Sunni government is managing its majority Shia citizenry.

۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit

Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.

۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲

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Sabina Henneberg
David Schenker

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

شبه‌نظامیان عراقی و تهدیدی تازه و جدی علیه کشورهای حوزه خلیج فارس

گروه پوششی الوية الوعد الحق معمولا هشدارهای خود را عملی می‌سازد. بنابرین، اظهارات اخیر این گروه در مورد بهره‌برداری از تحولات یمن به عنوان عاملی برای حملات جدید باید جدی گرفته شود.

۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲

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حمدی ملک
مایکل نایتز

◆ Militia Spotlight

Houthi leader Abdul-Malik Badruddin al-Houthi addresses a rally in Sanaa, Yemen - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The Houthi Jihad Council: Command and Control in ‘the Other Hezbollah’

The Houthi relationship with the IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah has grown to the point that regardless of whether fighting in Yemen wanes, the Gulf movement may still play an integrated role in Iran’s future military adventures.

October 2022

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Michael Knights
Adnan al-Gabarni
Casey Coombs

Smoke is seen at a Saudi oil facility in Abqaiq, 2019 - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

آیا حس انتقام ایران را به حمله به عربستان وامی‌دارد؟

در حالی که رژیم به سرکوب مضاعف در داخل ادامه می‌دهد، بر اساس اظهارات تهدیدآمیز خود در مورد دخالت خارجی در اعتراضات، ممکن است مثل تابستان ۲۰۱۹ تجهیزات و تاسیسات آمریکایی را وارد دور تازه‌ای از تنش نظامی کند.

۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲

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فرزین ندیمی

Articles & Testimony

High Prices, War in Ukraine, a Cold Winter Ahead—and Now OPEC+ Piles On

The oil cartel’s reported plan to cut production could roil global markets, U.S.-Gulf relations, and American voter sentiment.

۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Kuwait’s Election Offers Insights on Wider Gulf Politics

The vote and the events leading up to it reflect a system in near-paralysis rather than an example for neighbors to emulate.

۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Saudi King Gives Up Prime Minister Role to Crown Prince

The transfer further boosts his son’s authority and could even be a prelude to an unprecedented abdication.

۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Regional Security Cooperation Partnerships in the Middle East

The Abraham Accords have substantially increased the region’s options for countering Iranian threats, but the past performance of Arab coalitions should make policymakers cautious about expecting too much from new alliances.

۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

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David Schenker

MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?

Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.

۲۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

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Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Ehud Yaari
David Makovsky
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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