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  • Policy Analysis

خاورمیانه

Policy Analysis on خاورمیانه

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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Opinion Poll Shows 40 Percent Still Back Some Ties with Israel; Three-Fourths Say Rocket Fire Against Israel Will Have Negative Effects
A rare public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April 2023 by a reputable regional firm, reveals an intriguing mix of attitudes—some in line with emerging Saudi government policies; others, not so much.
۱۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Preserving U.S. Military Advantages in the Middle East
In areas such as basing, air superiority, high-tech weapons, and intelligence, America must act assertively to maintain its edge against competitors like Russia and China.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nathan P. Olsen
GCC
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Normalization and the GCC: Adjusting to A New Modus Vivendi
Though GCC member states may disagree on Syria's normalization, the collective memory of past conflicts and the desire for regional stability will likely override internal divisions.
۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
Ships and a drilling platform in the Aphrodite offshore gas field near Cyprus
Brief Analysis
Increased Drilling Raises Hopes for East Mediterranean Natural Gas Production
Activity in Cyprus and Lebanon could have significant implications for regional energy and diplomacy.
۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Saudi crown prince Muhammad bin Salman, President Biden, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu (with backdrop of national flags)
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Saudi Normalization with Israel, Domestic 'Transformation,' and U.S. Policy
A near-term breakthrough may be unlikely, but President Biden is well positioned to apply his energy toward negotiating a historic deal that establishes peace and advances American interests.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Bafel Talabani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK
The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.
۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mehmet Alaca
Photo of an oil facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG Oil and the Slipping Dream of Financial Independence
Following the ICC's decision, the KRG has limited options in its fight for financial independence from Baghdad.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nawras Jaff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Surging Violence: Hamas Attempts to Reshape the West Bank’s Political Landscape
With an opportunity to subtly expand its influence in the West Bank, Hamas is less likely to risk an all-out war with Israel from Gaza as they did in 2021.
۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nasser Khdour
Lebanon Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Federalism Work in Lebanon?
For those promoting federalism in Lebanon, a historical analysis of the country's geographic and ethnosectarian divisions demonstrates the necessity of inclusive discussion and collective engagement.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iraqis View Life after the Fall of Saddam—Twenty Years Ago and Today
Two decades after the fall of Saddam Hussein, widespread frustration with the current state of Iraq is leading increasing numbers to express a negative view of life in the post-Saddam era.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Law: Signaling a Short-Lived Run for Iraq’s Independent MPs?
A change to the Sainte-Laguë representation system will significantly hinder the ability of smaller parties and independent candidates to win seats in Iraq's next elections.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ashleigh Whelan
  • Mohanad Adnan
Arash-2 drones (Iran), Patriot launcher (U.S.)
گزارش‌های تفصیلی
حمله متقابل:
ایران و ظهور جنگ نامتقارن پهپادی در خاورمیانه
نیروهای پهپادی و موشکی رژیم تهدیدی جدید علیه امیرنشین‌های خلیج ‌فارس و اسرائیل است، و مستلزم پاسخی جدی‌تر و منسجم‌تر از سوی آمریکا.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • کنث اف. مکنزی جونیور
Trucks from the Autonomous Region, NE Syria, deliver aid after 2023 earthquake
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UN Aid in Northwest Syria—Or Lack Thereof
In the direct aftermath of the devastating earthquake that hit Turkey and Syria, EU-funded UN aid was delivered to Damascus despite the Assad regime’s disastrous track record, which includes stealing aid from international institutions. On the ground in Northwest Syria, frustration with the UN is rising, especially as aid from neighboring countries entered quickly.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Rena Netjes
IDF Humanitarian Aid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Crisis and Regional Cooperation: Israeli Response to the Earthquake in Syria and Turkey
Israeli aid efforts to Turkey and Syria have been multifaceted after the earthquake, despite the difficult political circumstances.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nir Boms
  • Joelle Rosenthal
UAE aid in Jableh, Syria, following February 6, 2023, earthquake
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Disaster Dynamics:
Assessing Middle East Responses to the Turkey-Syria Earthquake and Other Destructive Events
Regional generosity was on display after the February 6 temblor, but aid decisions do appear to be driven by political considerations.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sarah Cahn
  • Erik Yavorsky
New Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani attends the first regular session of the Council of Ministers in Baghdad in November 2022 - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Endless Electoral Law Debate
The Coordination Framework is poised to yet again change Iraq's electoral law, continuing a history of such changes that have destabilized and delegitimized the political system.
۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Putin Netanyahu
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Netanyahu Government’s Approach to Russia and Ukraine
Despite increased pressure on both sides, Netanyahu is likely to maintain Israel's nonaligned approach to the conflict in Ukraine in an effort to preserve his immediate regional interests.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Daniel Rakov
U.S. flag, nuclear symbol, Iranian flag
In-Depth Reports
Iran’s Nuclear Endgame Warrants a Change in U.S. Strategy
The regime's latest step on uranium enrichment should compel the United States and its partners to snap back sanctions, bolster military deterrence, and plan for potential crisis scenarios.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Putin’s Position in MENA and the Turkish Elections
Putin’s shift in MENA policy suggests efforts to smooth the way for Erdoğan’s electoral bid.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Baraa Sabri
A delegation of Gulf Arab men and women visit Yad Vashem in Jerusalem.
Articles & Testimony
Why Arabs Should Learn About the Holocaust
The vow of “never again” taken by virtually all nations after the Second World War remains unfulfilled.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Robert Satloff

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