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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
A British Trip to Secure Extra Saudi Oil?
Boris Johnson’s expected visit reflects both the urgency of the crisis and the chill between Riyadh and the White House.
Mar 14, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
How Will the Ukraine Crisis Affect Middle East Policy?
Three experts discuss whether the war might alter Washington’s calculus on rapprochement with Turkey, regional military deployments, and wider great power competition.
Mar 10, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Grant Rumley
Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel-UAE Economic Cooperation Has Deep Roots and Broad Dividends
From growing bilateral investments to talk of a “new Quad,” the relationship could significantly affect regional economic integration and competition well beyond the Gulf.
Mar 8, 2022
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  • Katherine Bauer
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmon durnig a meeting with Russian President Vladimor Putin in Rihady - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
As the Ukraine Crisis Continues, the West Needs a Middle East Assist
The outcome of Israeli diplomacy, Iranian oil decisions, and Gulf hesitance may play a crucial role in the crisis, particularly if it drags on for months rather than weeks.
Mar 7, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Arab Spring Tunisia Yemen Bahrain Egypt Libya Syria
Audio
In-Depth Reports
No Going Back
Activists Reflect a Decade After the Arab Spring
Interviews with thirteen activists reveal a deep sense of disappointment but also a shared conviction that a new reform movement will eventually rise and deliver lasting change to the region.
Mar 7, 2022
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  • Roy Gutman
◆ Reform, Protest, Change
A Ukrainian flag flies at a naval base in Crimea in 2014 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Middle East Responses to the Ukraine Crisis
So far, official statements from the region have ranged from rejecting Russia’s moves to treating them as a natural extension of existing policy.
Updated Mar 4, 2022
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  • Margaret Dene
  • Hannah Labow
  • Carol Silber
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in 2018 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets
Facing greater regional demands and limited resources, Washington will have to be more judicious in its obligations and more consistent in following through, lest its assurances fail to assure.
Mar 4, 2022
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why the US Needs Saudi Arabia to Help Put Pressure on Russia
Currently, the odds do not favor Riyadh making the substantial oil production increases sought by Washington.
Feb 25, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Axis of Abraham: Arab-Israeli Normalization Could Remake the Middle East
The accords may point to a future in which the United States can do less in the region—but to get there, Washington must first do more.
March-April 2022
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  • Michael Singh
Houthi fighters rally in Sanaa, Yemen
Brief Analysis
A Goldilocks Approach to Sanctioning Yemen’s Houthis
Although the group undoubtedly merits FTO designation, issuing targeted sanctions with broader UN buy-in may achieve better results without the humanitarian complications.
Feb 18, 2022
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  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
As China Thrives in the Post-9/11 Middle East, the US Must Counter
The West needs to radically alter its strategy for competing with Beijing in the region, particularly when it comes to economic stimulation, allied security blocs, and human rights.
Feb 16, 2022
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  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Unpacking the UAE F-35 Negotiations
In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.
Feb 15, 2022
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  • Grant Rumley
Israeli Prime Minister meets Bahraini foreign minister al-Zayan in Manama - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bennett’s Bahrain Visit Further Invigorates Israel-Gulf Diplomacy
The trip reflects the diplomatic competition between Manama and Abu Dhabi, and also suggests that a breakthrough with the Saudis could be close.
Feb 14, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Muslim man praying at al-Aqsa Mosque in Mecca, Saudi Arabia.
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Adjusts Its History, Diminishing the Role of Wahhabism
The first celebration of Founding Day, on February 22, could be accompanied by other changes.
Feb 11, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan watches the opening ceremony of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics in Beijing - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Middle East at the Olympics: Six Countries Compete While Great Power Politics on Display
Because regional leaders are treating the games as another stage for balancing historic partnerships with current economic and security interests, Washington should keep drawing clear lines regarding their ties with Beijing.
Feb 9, 2022
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  • Carol Silber
A sign identifying the NordStream 2 pipeline - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Energy Markets Take a Costly Turn with the Drama of World Tensions
In the current act, Russia enjoys advantages over its Western rivals, including high revenues and the gas that keeps Ukrainians and Germans warm.
Feb 7, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli defense minister Benny Gantz is greeted by a Bahraini defense official upon his arrival in Manama - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Israeli Defense Minister’s Visit to Bahrain Marks Major Advance
Iran is the dominant issue as top officials meet to finalize security pacts.
Feb 2, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
KH fundraising
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Behind "Grassroots" Iraqi Fundraising for Yemen
The Iran-backed militia tried to make its solo effort to boost the Houthi drone arsenal look like a widely coordinated and highly popular campaign, whereas it was anything but.
Feb 1, 2022
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Gas Likely to Top Agenda of Qatar’s White House Visit
Originally planned as a thank-you for crucial assistance in last summer’s withdrawal from Afghanistan, the meeting will probably focus on Doha’s potential role in addressing the Ukraine crisis instead.
Jan 31, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine Crisis: East Meets Mideast?
In theory, Iran, Turkey, the Gulf, and other regional players offer potential leverage of various kinds over Moscow, but closer examination suggests that most of these links are of limited utility at best.
Jan 28, 2022
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  • David Pollock

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Fellow of The Washington Institute, specializing in the military and security affairs of Iraq, Iran, and the Persian Gulf states. He is a co-founder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to the Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Syria.
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