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Great Power Competition

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The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Wagner Group in Syria: Profiting Off Failed States
Despite discord between the Wagner Group and the Russian government, the entrenched economic and military engagement of Wagner forces in Syria is unlikely to change soon.
Jul 21, 2023
◆
  • Emad Bouzo
Brief Analysis
On Syria Aid, Don’t Bet on the Security Council
Seventeen Russian vetoes have hobbled the council’s ability to keep humanitarian assistance flowing, so Washington and its allies should look to the General Assembly instead—or take matters into their own hands on the Turkish border.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Ukrainian soldier beside destroyed Russian tank in Novodarivka, Ukraine
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
How Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Is Reshaping the Global Arms Market:
Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
As Moscow grapples with battlefield losses and other challenges, traditional Russian clients are considering alternative sources, emerging exporters are amplifying their sales pitches, and governments are building up their domestic defense industrial bases.
Jul 17, 2023
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  • Grant Rumley
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Mecca
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Saudi Survey Says: Nearly Half Back “Moderate Islam”; Few Support Internal Protests or War with Iran
Saudi minds have become considerably more open to a modern version of Islam since this question was first asked in 2017.
Jul 14, 2023
◆
  • David Pollock
  • Daniel Chodorow
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
Jun 29, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Andrew J. Tabler
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iranian Reactions to the Wagner Standoff in Russia
Iranian officials are keenly aware that Putin’s crisis parallels their own vulnerabilities, so they will likely step up their efforts to cement the bilateral security relationship and obtain Russian weapons and technology.
Jun 28, 2023
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
A refugee from the Russian invasion of Ukraine holds a Ukrainian passport - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Growing Ukrainian and Russian Communities
For nationals on both sides of the fight, the Ukraine war has transformed Turkey from a popular summer destination to a longer-term safe haven or permanent home on the Mediterranean.
Jun 28, 2023
◆
  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Collin Trissel
Jordanian flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Public Opinion Poll: Jordanians Favor De-escalation in the Region, But Sentiment Against Israel Remains
In a new public opinion poll, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April by an independent regional firm, Jordanian citizens demonstrate a strong aversion toward Israel but remain in favor of regional de-escalation.
Jun 9, 2023
◆
  • Faris Almaari
Qazi Muhammed salutes at the founding of the Kurdish Republic of Mahabad in 1946 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Articles & Testimony
Russia and the Kurds: A Soft-Power Tool for the Kremlin?
An in-depth look at how Russian leaders have played the Kurdish card over the past two centuries, including recent engagement in Syria and Iraq.
Summer 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Cairo Market Street
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Still Lukewarm on Mass Street Protests; U.S. Trails Russia and China as Overall Partner, But Edges Out Both as Security Partner
A new public opinion poll of Egyptian citizens, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in late March/April by a regional commercial firm, showed that despite the current economic doldrums, street protests remained unpopular.
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Opinion: Still Friendly to United States, Split on Israel, Hostile to Iran
A fresh opinion poll of UAE citizens, commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted by a reliable independent regional firm in April 2023, reveals some of the most pro-American and anti-Iranian attitudes of any Arab country surveyed lately. On normalization with Israel, views are more mixed—yet surprisingly moderate, given this poll’s timing during Ramadan.
May 31, 2023
◆
  • David Pollock
Photo illustration depicting Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Russian president Vladimir Putin - Washington Institute illustration, original images from Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah and Russia’s Nascent Alliance
Although much is still unknown about the full extent of their collaboration, U.S. sanctions designations have revealed a multifaceted and increasingly lucrative relationship that should not be ignored amid other crises.
May 23, 2023
◆
  • Aurora Ortega
  • Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Kuwait Poll Shows Little Interest in Protests Despite Deadlock, Split Views of Global Powers
In a new public opinion poll commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted in March-April by an independent regional firm, Kuwaitis appeared averse to any disruptions at home or around the region, even as tensions grow across Kuwait’s political scene.
May 18, 2023
◆
  • Frances McDonough
Illustration of the Algerian and Russian flags
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
May 18, 2023
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
  • Erik Yavorsky
Brief Analysis
Preserving U.S. Military Advantages in the Middle East
In areas such as basing, air superiority, high-tech weapons, and intelligence, America must act assertively to maintain its edge against competitors like Russia and China.
May 14, 2023
◆
  • Nathan P. Olsen
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
Articles & Testimony
Even If Erdogan Is Defeated, Turkey Is Still Up for Grabs
Western gestures on trade and defense could reinforce a pro-democratic outcome and counter interference by Vladimir Putin.
May 11, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Egyptian president Sisi speaks
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Growth of Chinese Influence in Egypt: Signs and Consequences
Chinese influence extends beyond the economic sphere, posing serious threats to Egypt's security interests and relationship with the United States.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Mohamed Maher
  • Mohamed Farid
Sabereen Wagner
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Militia-Russia Love Affair: April 2023 Update
Iraqi militia officials are still regularly praising Putin's invasion of Ukraine and even conferring honorary Shia Muslim status on Russian officials.
Apr 26, 2023
◆
  • Amir al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Jordan’s Retreat from China on 5G Could Signal a Growing Distance
Amman will necessarily continue seeking Chinese direct investment for various purposes, but its rejection of Huawei echoes U.S. concerns about Beijing’s involvement in sensitive sectors.
Apr 25, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Photo of a Shahed drone in an Iranian military parade near imagery of Supreme Leader Khamenei..
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Drone Program: Security Implications and Policy Responses
A former CENTCOM chief joins two arms experts to discuss the capabilities of Iran’s drones, the gaps in current efforts to curb their proliferation, and the pressing need for a regional air defense architecture that can counter them.
Apr 24, 2023
◆
  • Kenneth McKenzie Jr.
  • Damien Spleeters
  • Valerie Lincy

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Goldberger Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where he specializes in military and security affairs in the Middle East.
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