انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

Chinese and Israeli flags on a table at a diplomatic conference - source: Reuters

No, Israel Isn’t Falling Into China’s Orbit

Much has been made about their growing ties, but an in-depth look at their actual activity in various sectors shows that alarmism is unwarranted.

۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

◆

Assaf Orion

Brief Analysis

Responding to the PA’s Mounting Fiscal Crisis

Years of declining international aid, unsustainable public patronage, and controversial policies have pushed the Palestinian government and banking sector to the brink of insolvency.

۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

◆

Jonah Shrock
Gabriel Epstein
David Makovsky

Fikra Forum

July/August 2022 UAE Survey Shows U.S. Leads Iran, but Lags Russia and China

Emiratis share their views on global players, regional dynamics, and economic conditions.

۳۰ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

David Pollock

Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks in a recorded interview released in Jan. 2019. Photo credit: Screenshot by Cole Bunzel via Twitter.

Articles & Testimony

Jawlani’s “State of the Union”

The Syrian jihadist leader’s growing efforts to garner legitimacy and build up local institutions can only go so far amid the group’s continued terrorist sympathies and minority repression.

۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

Aaron Y. Zelin

Fikra Forum

New Saudi Poll Shows Biden's Visit Barely Budged Skepticism

The Saudi public gave mixed reviews on issues such as normalization and ties with the United States, but remained mostly united regarding Russia’s actions in Ukraine and relations with Iran.

۲۶ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

David Pollock

Photo of Turkish and Taliban officials meeting in Ankara, October 2021.

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

به دنبال کسب مشروعیت: دیپلماسی طالبان بعد از سقوط کابل

به کمک چین، ترکیه و دیگر کشورها، وجهه بین‌المللی طالبان بهبود زیادی یافته است، ولی تا وقتی کابل روابطش را با القاعده انکار می‌کند، رهبران غربی باید همکاری‌شان را محدود کنند.

۲۵ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

آرون وای. زیلن

Fikra Forum

Turkey Knocks France Out on Mosul Airport Reconstruction Project

Turkey’s involvement in the reconstruction of Mosul Airport could cause problems amidst regional tensions with France and Iran, but it is also emblematic of the growing economic ties between Turkey and Iraq.

۱۹ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

Mehmet Alaca

Brief Analysis

Oman’s Economic Success Is Driven by Accountability as Much as Oil

By pushing the government to make more efficient use of higher hydrocarbon prices and a budget surplus of $2 billion, the sultan has helped reduce anxiety about the stability of the strategically positioned Gulf state.

۱۱ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

Jonathan Campbell-James

President Kais Saied of Tunisia casts a vote in the July 2022 constitutional referendum.

Brief Analysis

How to Engage with Tunisia’s New Constitutional Republic

Although anti-democratic measures continue to mount, now is not the time for cutting assistance, but rather for bolstering the country’s imperiled private sector, robust civil society, and compromised judiciary.

۸ اوت ۲۰۲۲

◆

Sabina Henneberg

President Joe Biden greets Saudi King Salman in Jeddah in July 2022 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The True Promise of Joe Biden’s Middle East Trip

It is no exaggeration to say that the visit represents a transformation of Washington’s regional approach—including a rethink of the “pivot.”

۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Dennis Ross
James Jeffrey

Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.

Articles & Testimony

China Below the Radar: Israel-US Strategic Dialogue on Technology

Although the headlines were focused elsewhere, the president’s Israel-Saudi trip included statements, agreements, and newly announced inter-agency dialogues that imply deep implications for China policy.

۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Assaf Orion
Shira Efron

تحلیل کوتاه

احتمال «جولای سورپرایز» ایرانی در سفر بایدن به خلیج ‌فارس

تهران شاید حضور پرزیدنت بایدن در اجلاس سران شورای همکاری خلیج فارس را فرصتی وسوسه‌انگیز برای ممانعت از احیای روابط آمریکا و کشورهای عربی این منطقه ببیند ‌ــ‌احتمالا با استفاده از تحریکات سایبری یا نظامی برای تحقیر میزبانان و نمایش ناتوانی آمریکا در محافظت از آنان.

۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

مایکل آیزنستات

Brief Analysis

How to Respond to China’s Growing Influence in the Gulf

Beijing’s use of intertwined civil and military tools in the Gulf mirrors its activity closer to home, but the West can readily counter this influence by capitalizing on the region’s desire for diversified partnerships.

۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Louis Dugit-Gros

President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia in July 2022

Articles & Testimony

The ‘Spin’ Doesn’t Tell the Full Story of Biden’s Middle East Trip

If there is good news on oil, it isn’t because of Riyadh’s ambiguous remarks about increasing the kingdom’s production capacity.

۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?

The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.

۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Time to Develop a Plan B for Syria Aid

Although alternatives to the UN mechanism carry uncertainties of their own, continuing the broken status quo will only boost Moscow, endanger Syrian civilians, and help the Assad regime avoid sanctions—not to mention whetting his appetite for natural gas shipments.

۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Andrew J. Tabler

Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

پیمان ابراهیم و چهره در حال تغییر خاورمیانه

اندیشه‌های یک دیپلمات کهنه‌کار آمریکایی درباره ده‌ها سال تعامل مستقیم که راه را برای پیمان ابراهیم هموار کرد؛ پیمانی که از زمان انعقادش راهی تازه برای مهار ایران و جان بخشیدن به پیشرفت روند صلح اسرائیل و فلسطین باز کرده است.

۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

دنیس راس

Articles & Testimony

Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy

Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.

۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Ben Fishman

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmon durnig a meeting with Russian President Vladimor Putin in Rihady - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

A Picture Could Paint a Thousand Words When Biden Meets MbS

Although political constraints in Washington, Jerusalem, and Riyadh could make substantive progress hard to come by, a few good photo ops may be all that's needed to deem the visit a success.

۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

◆

Simon Henderson

Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia

Articles & Testimony

Can Biden Convince Saudis to See the Western Position on Russia?

Improving U.S. relations with Riyadh is the only way to shift the Saudi stance toward Russia—failing that, Biden’s trip is unlikely to yield a strategic success.

۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۲

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

Never miss a breaking event on U.S. policy interests in the Middle East. Customize your subscription to our expert analysis, op-eds, live events, and special reports.